US stock / ETF

The Charles Schwab Corporation

SCHW · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

SCHW 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.03 and stabilize above resistance $103.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $103.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.9, MACD -0.262

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.03 (1.02%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$102.15Bearish
EMA 21$102.03Bearish
EMA 50$100.12Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.9 · MACD -0.262

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.03 · BB 2.54%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 24.3 · OBV -8.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$100.51 - $103.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.4% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$105
Nearest resistance

+2.38% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$103.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$101.55
Nearest support

-1.02% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.51
Deeper support zone

-2.04% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$99.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.52 - $102.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.81, invalidation $103.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 23.9 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.33 / $97.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.03 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.54%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.26 / $99.87Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.52 / $102.58Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.7 / 34.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.01xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.81, invalidation $103.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 23.9 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.33 / $97.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.7 / 34.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.03 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.54%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.26 / $99.87Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.52 / $102.58Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.01xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.51Range

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