US stock / ETF

Starbucks Corporation

SBUX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

SBUX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.08 and stabilize above resistance $115.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $115.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -0.258

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.02 (2.92%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$104.85Bearish
EMA 21$105.08Bearish
EMA 50$104.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -0.258

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.02 · BB 6.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV -41.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$101.93 - $115.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.59% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$118.53
Nearest resistance

+11.66% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$115.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$103.44
Nearest support

-1.46% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.93
Deeper support zone

-4.39% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$98.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.42 - $106.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.36, invalidation $104.59

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.5 / 38.2 / 16.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.47 / $108.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.02 (2.92%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.91%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.55 / $101.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.42 / $106.47Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.258Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.1 / 7.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.36, invalidation $104.59

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.5 / 38.2 / 16.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.47 / $108.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.258Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.1 / 7.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.02 (2.92%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.91%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.55 / $101.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.42 / $106.47Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$115.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.93Range

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