US stock / ETF

Starbucks Corporation

SBUX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

SBUX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $101.28 and stabilize above resistance $107.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $107.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.2, MACD -0.102

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.2 (1.21%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$99.51Bearish
EMA 21$101.28Bearish
EMA 50$103.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.2 · MACD -0.102

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.2 · BB 9.00%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 21.1 · OBV -43.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$98.46 - $107.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.16% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$109.06
Nearest resistance

+8.95% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$99
Nearest support

-0.55% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98.46
Deeper support zone

-1.76% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$97.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.8 - $100.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98.78, invalidation $100.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

71.2 / 10.6 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.63 / $103.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.2 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.00%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.56 / $98.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.8 / $100.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98.78, invalidation $100.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

71.2 / 10.6 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$101.63 / $103.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.2 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.00%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.56 / $98.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.8 / $100.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.46Range

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