US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

ORCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $156.49 and stabilize above resistance $170.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $170.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.0, MACD -1.658

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.18 (3.46%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$155.38Bearish
EMA 21$156.49Bearish
EMA 50$153.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD -1.658

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.18 · BB 10.56%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.3 · OBV -1261.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$138.46 - $170.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.26% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$175.88
Nearest resistance

+13.8% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$170.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$150
Nearest support

-7.7% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$138.46
Deeper support zone

-11.15% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$133.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$144.82 - $155.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $167.69, invalidation $160.36

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.7 / 13.4 / 24.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$132.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$158.05 / $154.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.18 (3.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.56%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.46 / $144.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$144.82 / $155.18Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.658Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 6.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-193.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1261.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $167.69, invalidation $160.36

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.7 / 13.4 / 24.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$132.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$158.05 / $154.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.658Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 6.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-193.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.18 (3.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.56%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.46 / $144.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$144.82 / $155.18Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1261.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.46Range

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