US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

ORCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $178.38 and stabilize above resistance $220.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $220.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.3, MACD -2.029

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.41 (2.78%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$166.76Bearish
EMA 21$178.38Bearish
EMA 50$189.37Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.3 · MACD -2.029

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.41 · BB 25.62%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 19.1 · OBV -62.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$155.38 - $220.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.72% · 15.0 ATR above latest close

$224.77
Nearest resistance

+38.94% · 14.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$220.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$158.6
Nearest support

-2.03% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$155.38
Deeper support zone

-4.81% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$150.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$154.19 - $163.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $187.97, invalidation $177.75

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.6 / 10.4 / 62.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$144.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.28 / $202.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.41 (2.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.62%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.07 / $168.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.19 / $163.01Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$220.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$155.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.029Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.3 / 4.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.00xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $187.97, invalidation $177.75

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.6 / 10.4 / 62.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$144.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.28 / $202.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.029Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.3 / 4.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.41 (2.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.62%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.07 / $168.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.19 / $163.01Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.00xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$220.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$155.38Range

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