US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish82%
Monthly Downside probability 82%Bearish

ORCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $163.98 and stabilize above resistance $345.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $345.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.3, MACD -10.522

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $56.43 (44.33%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$151.02Bearish
EMA 21$163.98Bearish
EMA 50$145.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.3 · MACD -10.522

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $56.43 · BB 104.01%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.8 · OBV -97.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$101.74 - $345.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+215.9% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$402.16
Nearest resistance

+171.57% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$345.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.31
Nearest support

-20.08% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.74
Deeper support zone

-64.41% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$45.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$70.87 - $183.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.5, invalidation $250.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 23.8 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$5.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.24 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.43 (44.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 104.01%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.74 / $70.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.87 / $183.74Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.74Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.522Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 10.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-97.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.5, invalidation $250.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 23.8 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$5.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.24 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.522Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 10.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.43 (44.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 104.01%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.74 / $70.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.87 / $183.74Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-97.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.74Range

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