US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish72%
Monthly Downside probability 72%Bearish

ORCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $165.34 and stabilize above resistance $345.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $345.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.5, MACD -9.565

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $55.39 (38.92%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$154.36Bearish
EMA 21$165.34Bearish
EMA 50$146.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.5 · MACD -9.565

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $55.39 · BB 101.93%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.1 · OBV -62.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$101.74 - $345.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+181.88% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$401.11
Nearest resistance

+142.95% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$345.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$142.3
Nearest support

-28.5% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.74
Deeper support zone

-67.43% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$46.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.91 - $197.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.5, invalidation $250.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 24.2 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.24 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$55.39 (38.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 101.93%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$256.24 / $74.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.91 / $197.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.74Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.0 / 12.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.5, invalidation $250.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 24.2 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.24 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.0 / 12.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$55.39 (38.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 101.93%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$256.24 / $74.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.91 / $197.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.74Range

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