US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

ORCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $170.4 and stabilize above resistance $345.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $345.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.9, MACD -10.215

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $57.69 (39.39%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$162.96Bearish
EMA 21$170.4Bearish
EMA 50$146.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD -10.215

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $57.69 · BB 96.78%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.5 · OBV -45.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$99.26 - $345.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+175.42% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$403.41
Nearest resistance

+136.03% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$345.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.47
Nearest support

-32.23% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$99.26
Deeper support zone

-71.62% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$41.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$88.78 - $204.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $250.25, invalidation $134.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 25.9 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$15.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.24 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$57.69 (39.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 96.78%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.7 / $63.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.78 / $204.16Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$99.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.215Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.8 / 8.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $250.25, invalidation $134.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 25.9 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$15.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.24 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.215Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.8 / 8.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$57.69 (39.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 96.78%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.7 / $63.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.78 / $204.16Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$99.26Range

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