US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish64%
Monthly Downside probability 64%Bearish

ORCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $172.64 and stabilize above resistance $345.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $345.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD -10.399

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $59.38 (46.3%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$167.31Bearish
EMA 21$172.64Bearish
EMA 50$146.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD -10.399

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $59.38 · BB 95.13%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.3 · OBV -28.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$99.26 - $345.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+215.89% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$405.1
Nearest resistance

+169.59% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$345.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$128.24
Nearest support

-22.6% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$99.26
Deeper support zone

-68.9% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$39.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$68.86 - $187.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $345.72, invalidation $134.57

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.7 / 31.4 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$29.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$213.95 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$59.38 (46.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 95.13%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$284.96 / $61.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$68.86 / $187.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$99.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.399Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 17.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $345.72, invalidation $134.57

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.7 / 31.4 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$29.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$213.95 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.399Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 17.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$59.38 (46.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 95.13%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$284.96 / $61.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$68.86 / $187.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$99.26Range

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