US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ORCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $160.91 and stabilize above resistance $345.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $345.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD -10.119

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $49.02 (38.56%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$146.29Bearish
EMA 21$160.91Bearish
EMA 50$145.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD -10.119

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $49.02 · BB 105.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.1 · OBV -134.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$106.51 - $345.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+210.55% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$394.74
Nearest resistance

+171.98% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$345.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$127.11
Nearest support

-16.21% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$106.51
Deeper support zone

-54.77% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$57.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.09 - $176.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.5, invalidation $170.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 14.7 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$13.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$203.6 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.02 (38.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.28%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.88 / $71.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.09 / $176.13Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.119Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-134.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.5, invalidation $170.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 14.7 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$13.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$203.6 / $203.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.119Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.02 (38.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.28%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.88 / $71.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.09 / $176.13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-134.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.51Range

Related Forecasts