US stock / ETF

Oracle Corp

ORCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

ORCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $159.03 and stabilize above resistance $250.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $250.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.0, MACD -4.812

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.06 (18.13%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$141.01Bearish
EMA 21$159.03Bearish
EMA 50$175.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.0 · MACD -4.812

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.06 · BB 75.27%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.0 · OBV -68.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$114.5 - $250.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+106.74% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$274.31
Nearest resistance

+88.61% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$250.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$132.68
Nearest support

-13.7% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$114.5
Deeper support zone

-31.83% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$90.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$108.62 - $156.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $250.25, invalidation $134.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 28.0 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$174.94 / $230.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.06 (18.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.27%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.48 / $111.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.62 / $156.74Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$250.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.812Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.4 / 8.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-68.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $250.25, invalidation $134.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 28.0 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$174.94 / $230.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.812Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.4 / 8.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.06 (18.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.27%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.48 / $111.67Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.62 / $156.74Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-68.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$250.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.5Range

Related Forecasts