US stock / ETF

MSCI, Inc.

MSCI · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MSCI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $583.78 and stabilize above resistance $625.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $625.82 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.0, MACD -2.899

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $10.4 (1.85%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$571.05Bearish
EMA 21$583.78Bearish
EMA 50$591.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.0 · MACD -2.899

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.4 · BB 11.51%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.4 · OBV -45.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$548.15 - $625.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.41% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$636.21
Nearest resistance

+11.55% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$625.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$561
Nearest support

-2.29% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$548.15
Deeper support zone

-4.14% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$537.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$550.6 - $571.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.01, invalidation $587.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.7 / 5.2 / 54.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$531.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$575.29 / $596.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$10.4 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.51%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$603.96 / $562.24Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$550.6 / $571.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$625.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$548.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.899Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.01, invalidation $587.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.7 / 5.2 / 54.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$531.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$575.29 / $596.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.899Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$10.4 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.51%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$603.96 / $562.24Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$550.6 / $571.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$625.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$548.15Range

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