US stock / ETF

MSCI, Inc.

MSCI · NYSE · USD

4 hoursRange47%
4h Range probability 94%Range

MSCI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $537.36 - $586.3 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 48.5, MACD 0.243

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $7.03 (1.28%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$546.5Bullish
EMA 21$550.02Bearish
EMA 50$556.13Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD 0.243

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $7.03 · BB 4.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 25.7 · OBV 4.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$537.36 - $586.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.91% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$593.33
Nearest resistance

+6.63% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$586.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$549.82
Nearest support

-2.27% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$537.36
Deeper support zone

-3.54% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$530.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$542.79 - $556.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $537.36, invalidation $547.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.2 / 31.5 / 30.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$535.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$549.59 / $561.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.03 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.70%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$559.33 / $540.14Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$542.79 / $556.85Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$586.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$537.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.243Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.2 / 27.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

8.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $537.36, invalidation $547.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.2 / 31.5 / 30.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$535.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$549.59 / $561.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.243Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.2 / 27.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

8.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.03 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.70%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$559.33 / $540.14Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$542.79 / $556.85Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$586.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$537.36Range

Related Forecasts