US stock / ETF

MSCI, Inc.

MSCI · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

MSCI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $569.14 and stabilize above resistance $644.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $644.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.9, MACD -4.919

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $67.23 (12.23%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$570.34Bearish
EMA 21$569.14Bearish
EMA 50$537.44Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD -4.919

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $67.23 · BB 14.58%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.8 · OBV -142.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$439.95 - $644.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.5% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$712
Nearest resistance

+17.27% · 1.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$644.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$549.82
Nearest support

-19.98% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$439.95
Deeper support zone

-32.21% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$372.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$482.59 - $617.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $644.77, invalidation $501.08

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 10.7 / 13.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$330.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$569.34 / $512.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$67.23 (12.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.58%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$720.62 / $418.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$482.59 / $617.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$644.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$439.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.919Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.9 / 43.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-142.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $644.77, invalidation $501.08

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 10.7 / 13.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$330.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$569.34 / $512.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.919Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.9 / 43.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$67.23 (12.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.58%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$720.62 / $418.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$482.59 / $617.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-142.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$644.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$439.95Range

Related Forecasts