US stock / ETF

Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursRange52%
4h Range probability 96%Range

MRNA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $175.55 - $253.41 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.5, MACD 1.273

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.34 (5.37%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$203.46Bullish
EMA 21$207.2Bullish
EMA 50$210.26Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.5 · MACD 1.273

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $11.34 · BB 36.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.2 · OBV -9.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$175.55 - $253.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.34% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$264.75
Nearest resistance

+19.97% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$253.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.23
Nearest support

-16.89% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$175.55
Deeper support zone

-22.26% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$164.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$199.89 - $222.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $203.82, invalidation $183.84

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.9 / 16.1 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$174.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.68 / $214.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.34 (5.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.35%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229 / $184.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$199.89 / $222.57Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$253.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$175.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.273Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.6 / 82.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $203.82, invalidation $183.84

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.9 / 16.1 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$174.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.68 / $214.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.273Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.6 / 82.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.34 (5.37%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.35%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229 / $184.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$199.89 / $222.57Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$253.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$175.55Range

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