US stock / ETF

Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish54%
4h Downside probability 54%Bearish

MRNA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $139.26 and stabilize above resistance $187.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $187.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.9, MACD -3.741

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.96 (5.05%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$140.74Bearish
EMA 21$139.26Bearish
EMA 50$120.36Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.9 · MACD -3.741

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $6.96 · BB 18.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.4 · OBV -20.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$62.13 - $187.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.17% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$194.46
Nearest resistance

+36.12% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$187.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$137.75
Nearest support

-54.9% · 10.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$62.13
Deeper support zone

-59.95% · 11.9 ATR below latest close

$55.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$130.79 - $144.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $147.75, invalidation $137.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 21.9 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$146.86 / $123.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.96 (5.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.79%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$152.63 / $126.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$130.79 / $144.71Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$187.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.741Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 15.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $147.75, invalidation $137.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 21.9 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$146.86 / $123.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.741Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 15.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.96 (5.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.79%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$152.63 / $126.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$130.79 / $144.71Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$187.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.13Range

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