US stock / ETF

Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

MRNA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $66.12 and stabilize above resistance $79.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $79.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.9, MACD -0.371

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.45 (2.35%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$63.33Bearish
EMA 21$66.12Bearish
EMA 50$67.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.9 · MACD -0.371

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.45 · BB 14.34%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 51.3 · OBV 6.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$61.06 - $79.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.59% · 13.5 ATR above latest close

$81.35
Nearest resistance

+29.25% · 12.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$79.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$61.82
Nearest support

-1.23% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$61.06
Deeper support zone

-3.58% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$59.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$60.37 - $63.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $68.5, invalidation $61.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.7 / 6.3 / 35.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.28 / $73.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.45 (2.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.34%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$69.07 / $62.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.37 / $63.27Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$79.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.06Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.371Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.2 / 13.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.53%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $68.5, invalidation $61.06

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.7 / 6.3 / 35.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.28 / $73.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.371Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.2 / 13.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.45 (2.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.34%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$69.07 / $62.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.37 / $63.27Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.53%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$79.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.06Range

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