US stock / ETF

Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish66%
3M Downside probability 66%Bearish

MRNA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $108.66 and stabilize above resistance $496.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $496.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $36.29 (53.95%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$56.03Bullish
EMA 21$108.66Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $36.29 · BB 299.18%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.2 · OBV -76.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$22.28 - $496.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+692.41% · 12.8 ATR above latest close

$533.05
Nearest resistance

+638.46% · 11.8 ATR above · 24-bar high

$496.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$67.27
Nearest support

-66.88% · 1.2 ATR below · 24-bar low

$22.28
Deeper support zone

-120.83% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

-$14.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.98 - $103.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.28, invalidation $170.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$37.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.29 (53.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 299.18%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.52 / $41.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.98 / $103.56Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$496.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.3 / 14.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.28, invalidation $170.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$37.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.3 / 14.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.29 (53.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 299.18%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.52 / $41.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.98 / $103.56Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$496.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.28Range

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