US stock / ETF

Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish72%
3M Downside probability 72%Bearish

MRNA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $83.61 and stabilize above resistance $497.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $497.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $33.09 (53.53%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$57.52Bullish
EMA 21$83.61Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $33.09 · BB 242.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.5 · OBV -36.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$11.54 - $497.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+758.27% · 14.2 ATR above latest close

$530.58
Nearest resistance

+704.74% · 13.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$497.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$61.82
Nearest support

-81.33% · 1.5 ATR below · 29-bar low

$11.54
Deeper support zone

-134.87% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

-$21.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$28.73 - $94.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.28, invalidation $170.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 25.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$20.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.86 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$33.09 (53.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 242.14%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$142.45 / $19.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.73 / $94.91Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$497.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.54Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.7 / 22.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.28, invalidation $170.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 25.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$20.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.86 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.7 / 22.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$33.09 (53.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 242.14%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$142.45 / $19.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.73 / $94.91Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$497.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.54Range

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