US stock / ETF

Moderna, Inc.

MRNA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish72%
3M Downside probability 72%Bearish

MRNA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $83.37 and stabilize above resistance $497.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $497.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $33.69 (56.94%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$56.93Bullish
EMA 21$83.37Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $33.69 · BB 242.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.1 · OBV -37.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$11.54 - $497.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+797.72% · 14.0 ATR above latest close

$531.18
Nearest resistance

+740.78% · 13.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$497.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$59.17
Nearest support

-80.5% · 1.4 ATR below · 29-bar low

$11.54
Deeper support zone

-137.44% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

-$22.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.48 - $92.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.28, invalidation $170.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 24.8 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$27.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.86 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$33.69 (56.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 242.81%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.87 / $17.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.48 / $92.86Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$497.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.54Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.9 / 21.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.28, invalidation $170.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 24.8 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$27.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.86 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.9 / 21.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$33.69 (56.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 242.81%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$143.87 / $17.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.48 / $92.86Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$497.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.54Range

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