US stock / ETF

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

MPC · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish60%
4h Upside probability 60%Bullish

MPC 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $238.63 and reclaim $272.18.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $238.63 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.7, MACD 1.188

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.5 (1.77%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$250.75Bullish
EMA 21$251.12Bullish
EMA 50$252.24Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.7 · MACD 1.188

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.5 · BB 10.58%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 60.2 · OBV -64.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$238.63 - $272.18

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.97% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$276.68
Nearest resistance

+7.2% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.18
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$253.9
Nearest support

-6.01% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$238.63
Deeper support zone

-7.79% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$234.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$249.4 - $258.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.61, invalidation $240.61

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.8 / 29.8 / 22.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.26 / $255.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.5 (1.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.58%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$259.52 / $242.48Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$249.4 / $258.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$238.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.188Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.1 / 89.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.61, invalidation $240.61

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.8 / 29.8 / 22.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.26 / $255.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.188Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.1 / 89.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.5 (1.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.58%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$259.52 / $242.48Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$249.4 / $258.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$238.63Range

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