US stock / ETF

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

MPC · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish82%
4h Downside probability 82%Bearish

MPC 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $458.23 and stabilize above resistance $493.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $493.06 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.9, MACD -2.865

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.63 (2.21%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$449.73Bearish
EMA 21$458.23Bearish
EMA 50$458.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.9 · MACD -2.865

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.63 · BB 10.42%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 17.5 · OBV -14.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$435.98 - $493.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.3% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$502.69
Nearest resistance

+13.09% · 5.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$493.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$435.98
Nearest support

+0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$435.98
Deeper support zone

-2.21% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$426.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$426.35 - $445.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $474.04, invalidation $447.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 19.5 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$405.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$459.77 / $464.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.63 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.42%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$478.14 / $437.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$426.35 / $445.61Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$493.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$435.98Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.865Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 0.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-192.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $474.04, invalidation $447.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 19.5 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$405.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$459.77 / $464.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.865Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 0.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-192.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.63 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.42%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$478.14 / $437.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$426.35 / $445.61Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$493.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$435.98Range

Related Forecasts