US stock / ETF

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

MPC · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MPC 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $459.89 and stabilize above resistance $493.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $493.06 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.2, MACD -5.596

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $14.25 (3.27%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$456.99Bearish
EMA 21$459.89Bearish
EMA 50$442.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.2 · MACD -5.596

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.25 · BB 10.88%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.8 · OBV -10.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$405.57 - $493.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.36% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$507.31
Nearest resistance

+13.09% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$493.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$435.98
Nearest support

-6.98% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$405.57
Deeper support zone

-10.24% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$391.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$421.73 - $450.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $452.75, invalidation $486.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.5 / 26.1 / 30.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$405.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$462.92 / $436.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$14.25 (3.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.88%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$491.39 / $429.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$421.73 / $450.23Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$493.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$405.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.596Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-166.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.55xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $452.75, invalidation $486.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.5 / 26.1 / 30.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$405.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$462.92 / $436.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.596Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-166.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$14.25 (3.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.88%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$491.39 / $429.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$421.73 / $450.23Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.55xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$493.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$405.57Range

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