US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

MARA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.7 and stabilize above resistance $14.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $14.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.2, MACD -0.130

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.4037 (3.78%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.13Bearish
EMA 21$11.7Bearish
EMA 50$12.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.2 · MACD -0.130

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4037 · BB 19.62%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 7.2 · OBV -77.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$10.55 - $14.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.83% · 10.3 ATR above latest close

$14.81
Nearest resistance

+35.05% · 9.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$14.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$10.67
Nearest support

-1.12% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.55
Deeper support zone

-4.91% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$10.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.27 - $11.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.67, invalidation $12.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.4 / 0.4 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.81 / $12.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4037 (3.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.62%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.45 / $10.88Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.27 / $11.07Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$14.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.130Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.0 / 4.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-163.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.67, invalidation $12.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.4 / 0.4 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.81 / $12.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.130Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.0 / 4.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-163.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4037 (3.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.62%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.45 / $10.88Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.27 / $11.07Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$14.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.55Range

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