US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

MARA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.39 and stabilize above resistance $13.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $13.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD 0.019

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.2861 (2.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.12Bearish
EMA 21$11.39Bearish
EMA 50$11.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD 0.019

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2861 · BB 9.08%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.0 · OBV -147.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$10.81 - $13.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.74% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$13.49
Nearest resistance

+20.13% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$13.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$10.99
Nearest support

-1.62% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.81
Deeper support zone

-4.22% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$10.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.7 - $11.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.81, invalidation $11.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 33.7 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.4 / $12.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.2861 (2.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.08%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.84 / $10.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.7 / $11.27Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$13.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.8 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-147.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.81, invalidation $11.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 33.7 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.4 / $12.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.8 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.2861 (2.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.08%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.84 / $10.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.7 / $11.27Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-147.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$13.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.81Range

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