US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

MARA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.36 and stabilize above resistance $12.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $12.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD -0.081

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.3862 (3.5%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$11.2Bearish
EMA 21$11.36Bearish
EMA 50$11.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD -0.081

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3862 · BB 11.33%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 63.2 · OBV -207.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$10.77 - $12.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.68% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$12.77
Nearest resistance

+12.18% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$12.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.04
Nearest support

-2.45% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.77
Deeper support zone

-5.94% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$10.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.65 - $11.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.96, invalidation $11.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 5.5 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.37 / $11.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.3862 (3.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.33%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.96 / $10.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.65 / $11.43Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.081Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.8 / 16.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-207.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.96, invalidation $11.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 5.5 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.37 / $11.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.081Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.8 / 16.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.3862 (3.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.33%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.96 / $10.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.65 / $11.43Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-207.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.77Range

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