US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

MARA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $7.29 and stabilize above resistance $8.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $8.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 39.8, MACD 0.045

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.2264 (3.18%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$7.06Bullish
EMA 21$7.29Bearish
EMA 50$8.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.8 · MACD 0.045

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.2264 · BB 17.08%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.0 · OBV -0.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$6.62 - $8.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.47% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$8.64
Nearest resistance

+18.28% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$8.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$7.11
Nearest support

-6.89% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6.62
Deeper support zone

-10.08% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$6.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6.88 - $7.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.62, invalidation $7.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 14.8 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7.14 / $8.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.2264 (3.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.08%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7.72 / $6.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.88 / $7.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.045Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.6 / 41.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.62, invalidation $7.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 14.8 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7.14 / $8.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.045Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.6 / 41.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.2264 (3.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.08%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7.72 / $6.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.88 / $7.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.62Range

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