US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish78%
Monthly Downside probability 78%Bearish

MARA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $12.53 and stabilize above resistance $34.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD -0.343

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.43 (62.35%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$10.72Bearish
EMA 21$12.53Bearish
EMA 50$14.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD -0.343

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.43 · BB 100.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 62.2 · OBV 39.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$6.66 - $34.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+441.81% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$38.52
Nearest resistance

+379.46% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$7.11
Nearest support

-6.33% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6.66
Deeper support zone

-68.69% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$2.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$2.68 - $11.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.66, invalidation $16.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 24.0 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$2.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.43 (62.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 100.79%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.17 / $4.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.68 / $11.54Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.343Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.7 / 17.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.66, invalidation $16.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 24.0 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$2.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.343Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.7 / 17.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.43 (62.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 100.79%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.17 / $4.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.68 / $11.54Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

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