US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish71%
Monthly Downside probability 71%Bearish

MARA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $13.04 and stabilize above resistance $34.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -0.136

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.08 (36.95%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.68Bearish
EMA 21$13.04Bearish
EMA 50$14.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -0.136

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.08 · BB 90.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.6 · OBV 22.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$6.66 - $34.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+245.73% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$38.17
Nearest resistance

+208.79% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.04
Nearest support

-39.67% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6.66
Deeper support zone

-76.62% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$2.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6.96 - $15.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.66, invalidation $16.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 23.5 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.5390Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.08 (36.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.80%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.06 / $5.86Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.96 / $15.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.136Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 25.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.66, invalidation $16.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 23.5 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.5390Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.136Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 25.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.08 (36.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.80%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.06 / $5.86Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.96 / $15.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

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