US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

MARA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $13.36 and stabilize above resistance $34.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.9, MACD -0.080

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.35 (36.66%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$12.15Bearish
EMA 21$13.36Bearish
EMA 50$14.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD -0.080

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.35 · BB 92.46%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.1 · OBV 27.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$6.66 - $34.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+223.85% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$38.44
Nearest resistance

+187.19% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.87
Nearest support

-43.89% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6.66
Deeper support zone

-80.55% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$2.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$7.52 - $16.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.66, invalidation $16.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 29.8 / 24.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$2.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.35 (36.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 92.46%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.7 / $4.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$7.52 / $16.22Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.0 / 33.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6.66, invalidation $16.43

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 29.8 / 24.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$2.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.0 / 33.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.35 (36.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 92.46%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.7 / $4.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$7.52 / $16.22Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

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