US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish66%
Monthly Downside probability 66%Bearish

MARA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $13.45 and stabilize above resistance $34.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -0.168

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.28 (40%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$12.09Bearish
EMA 21$13.45Bearish
EMA 50$14.55Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -0.168

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.28 · BB 93.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.7 · OBV 38.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$6.66 - $34.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+258.9% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$38.37
Nearest resistance

+218.9% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$10.69
Nearest support

-37.7% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6.66
Deeper support zone

-77.7% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$2.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6.41 - $14.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.45, invalidation $6.66

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 30.4 / 22.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$0.5986Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.57 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.28 (40%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.79%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.09 / $4.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.41 / $14.97Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.168Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 37.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.45, invalidation $6.66

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 30.4 / 22.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$0.5986Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.57 / $18.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.168Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 37.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.28 (40%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.79%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.09 / $4.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6.41 / $14.97Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

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