US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish69%
Weekly Downside probability 69%Bearish

MARA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.65 and stabilize above resistance $16.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $16.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD -0.018

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.06 (18.75%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.59Bearish
EMA 21$11.65Bearish
EMA 50$12.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD -0.018

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.06 · BB 48.01%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.6 · OBV 6.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$7.31 - $16.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+68.52% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$18.49
Nearest resistance

+49.77% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$16.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$10.97
Nearest support

-33.36% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$7.31
Deeper support zone

-52.11% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$5.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$8.91 - $13.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.98, invalidation $8.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 16.5 / 18.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.94 / $15.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.06 (18.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.01%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.46 / $7.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.91 / $13.03Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.018Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 43.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.98, invalidation $8.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 16.5 / 18.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.94 / $15.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.018Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 43.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.06 (18.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.01%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.46 / $7.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.91 / $13.03Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$7.31Range

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