US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

MARA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.49 and stabilize above resistance $16.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $16.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.0, MACD -0.085

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.23 (20.24%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.25Bearish
EMA 21$11.49Bearish
EMA 50$12.16Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.0 · MACD -0.085

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.23 · BB 48.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.7 · OBV 8.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$6.66 - $16.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+69.06% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$18.66
Nearest resistance

+48.82% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$16.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.04
Nearest support

-39.67% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6.66
Deeper support zone

-59.91% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$4.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$8.81 - $13.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12.47, invalidation $8.68

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 15.6 / 16.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.47 / $15.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.23 (20.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.28%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.58 / $7.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.81 / $13.27Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.085Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.5 / 35.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12.47, invalidation $8.68

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 15.6 / 16.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.47 / $15.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.085Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.5 / 35.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.23 (20.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.28%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.58 / $7.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.81 / $13.27Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.66Range

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