US stock / ETF

MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish75%
Weekly Downside probability 75%Bearish

MARA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $10.46 and stabilize above resistance $16.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $16.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.5, MACD -0.532

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.89 (26.64%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$9.12Bearish
EMA 21$10.46Bearish
EMA 50$11.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.5 · MACD -0.532

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.89 · BB 75.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.1 · OBV -5.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$6.72 - $16.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+157.72% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$18.32
Nearest resistance

+131.08% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$16.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$7.11
Nearest support

-5.49% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6.72
Deeper support zone

-32.13% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$4.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5.22 - $9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.98, invalidation $8.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 16.3 / 30.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$10.96 / $12.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.89 (26.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.35%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$13.77 / $7.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5.22 / $9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.532Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 2.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-186.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $13.98, invalidation $8.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 16.3 / 30.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$10.96 / $12.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.532Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 2.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-186.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.89 (26.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.35%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$13.77 / $7.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5.22 / $9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6.72Range

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