US stock / ETF

Marriott International

MAR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

MAR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $367.76 and stabilize above resistance $385.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $385.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.4, MACD -3.945

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.9 (2.27%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$359.47Bearish
EMA 21$367.76Bearish
EMA 50$370.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.4 · MACD -3.945

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.9 · BB 12.85%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.3 · OBV 30.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$344.29 - $385.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.05% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$393.4
Nearest resistance

+10.78% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$385.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$348
Nearest support

-1.07% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$344.29
Deeper support zone

-3.34% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$336.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$340.1 - $355.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $384, invalidation $371.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.8 / 5.0 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$320.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$364.52 / $364.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.9 (2.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.85%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$385.12 / $349.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$340.1 / $355.9Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$385.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.945Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 7.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-220.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $384, invalidation $371.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.8 / 5.0 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$320.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$364.52 / $364.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.945Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 7.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-220.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.9 (2.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.85%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$385.12 / $349.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$340.1 / $355.9Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$385.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$344.29Range

Related Forecasts