US stock / ETF

Marriott International

MAR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MAR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $369.27 and stabilize above resistance $383.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $383.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.0, MACD -1.015

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.88 (1.07%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$365.1Bearish
EMA 21$369.27Bearish
EMA 50$373.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.0 · MACD -1.015

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.88 · BB 6.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV -19.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$360.01 - $383.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.79% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$387.45
Nearest resistance

+5.72% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$383.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$362.83
Nearest support

-0.78% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$360.01
Deeper support zone

-1.85% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$356.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$358.95 - $366.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $360.01, invalidation $367

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 35.3 / 33.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$351.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.44 / $376.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.88 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.61%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$376.58 / $361.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$358.95 / $366.71Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$360.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.5 / 16.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $360.01, invalidation $367

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 35.3 / 33.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$351.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.44 / $376.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.5 / 16.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.88 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.61%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$376.58 / $361.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$358.95 / $366.71Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$360.01Range

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