US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

LRCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $252.87 and stabilize above resistance $304.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $304.21 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.3, MACD -1.602

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.28 (4.03%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$236.89Bearish
EMA 21$252.87Bearish
EMA 50$275.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.3 · MACD -1.602

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.28 · BB 28.52%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.5 · OBV -19.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$225.79 - $304.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$313.49
Nearest resistance

+31.97% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$304.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$230.51
Nearest support

-2.05% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$225.79
Deeper support zone

-6.07% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$216.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.23 - $239.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $263, invalidation $275

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 25.8 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$201.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$250.51 / $280.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.28 (4.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.52%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.19 / $231.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.23 / $239.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$304.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.602Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 10.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $263, invalidation $275

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 25.8 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$201.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$250.51 / $280.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.602Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.6 / 10.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.28 (4.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.52%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.19 / $231.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.23 / $239.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$304.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.79Range

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