US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish63%
4h Downside probability 63%Bearish

LRCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $317.13 and stabilize above resistance $345.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $345.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -0.826

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.1 (2.58%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$313.1Bullish
EMA 21$317.13Bearish
EMA 50$317.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -0.826

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.1 · BB 15.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 60.2 · OBV 3.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$302.09 - $345.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.53% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$353.29
Nearest resistance

+9.95% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$345.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$313.95
Nearest support

-3.78% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$302.09
Deeper support zone

-6.36% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$293.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$305.85 - $322.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $319.1, invalidation $304.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.7 / 16.3 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$294.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$317.12 / $319.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.1 (2.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.36%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$329.84 / $304.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$305.85 / $322.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$302.09Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.826Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.7 / 30.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $319.1, invalidation $304.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.7 / 16.3 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$294.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$317.12 / $319.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.826Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.7 / 30.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.1 (2.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.36%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$329.84 / $304.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$305.85 / $322.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$302.09Range

Related Forecasts