US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish61%
4h Downside probability 61%Bearish

LRCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $345.17 and stabilize above resistance $406.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $406.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 47.7, MACD 1.973

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.15 (2.66%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$342.64Bullish
EMA 21$345.17Bearish
EMA 50$355.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.7 · MACD 1.973

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $9.15 · BB 12.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.6 · OBV 3.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$313 - $406.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.9% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

$416.14
Nearest resistance

+18.25% · 6.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$406.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$344.19
Nearest support

-9.06% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$313
Deeper support zone

-11.72% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$303.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$335.04 - $353.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $327, invalidation $355.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.5 / 22.4 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$319.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$340.86 / $375.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.15 (2.66%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.36%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$362.18 / $327.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$335.04 / $353.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$406.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$313Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.973Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.0 / 50.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

24.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.53xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $327, invalidation $355.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.5 / 22.4 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$319.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$340.86 / $375.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.973Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.0 / 50.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

24.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.15 (2.66%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.36%

56%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$362.18 / $327.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$335.04 / $353.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.53xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$406.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$313Range

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