US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

LRCX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $304.23 and stabilize above resistance $326.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $326.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.4, MACD -1.589

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.85 (1.96%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$302.03Bearish
EMA 21$304.23Bearish
EMA 50$305.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.4 · MACD -1.589

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.85 · BB 10.35%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.9 · OBV -1.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$278.04 - $326.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.49% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$332.51
Nearest resistance

+9.53% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$326.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$298.23
Nearest support

-6.77% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$278.04
Deeper support zone

-8.73% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$272.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$292.38 - $304.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.54, invalidation $307.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.3 / 15.9 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$281.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$304.06 / $302.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.85 (1.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.35%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$315.14 / $293.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$292.38 / $304.08Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$326.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$278.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.589Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 14.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.57xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.54, invalidation $307.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.3 / 15.9 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$281.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$304.06 / $302.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.589Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 14.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.85 (1.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.35%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$315.14 / $293.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$292.38 / $304.08Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.57xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$326.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$278.04Range

Related Forecasts