US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish90%
1h Downside probability 90%Bearish

LRCX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $301.96 and stabilize above resistance $316.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $316.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.4, MACD 0.242

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.76 (0.93%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$300.27Bearish
EMA 21$301.96Bearish
EMA 50$304.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.4 · MACD 0.242

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.76 · BB 2.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 16.7 · OBV -51.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$294.54 - $316.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.22% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$319.75
Nearest resistance

+6.29% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$316.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$298.23
Nearest support

-1.24% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$294.54
Deeper support zone

-2.16% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$291.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$295.47 - $300.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.54, invalidation $303.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 29.2 / 30.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$301.65 / $310.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.76 (0.93%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.76%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$307.82 / $295.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$295.47 / $300.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$316.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$294.54Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.242Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.6 / 38.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.87xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.54, invalidation $303.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 29.2 / 30.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$301.65 / $310.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.242Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.6 / 38.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.76 (0.93%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.76%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$307.82 / $295.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$295.47 / $300.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.87xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$316.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$294.54Range

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