US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish89%
1h Downside probability 89%Bearish

LRCX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $233.84 and stabilize above resistance $268.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $268.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.3, MACD 1.215

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.78 (1.21%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$230.76Bearish
EMA 21$233.84Bearish
EMA 50$244.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD 1.215

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.78 · BB 4.97%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -407.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$225.79 - $268.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.69% · 14.7 ATR above latest close

$271.29
Nearest resistance

+16.48% · 13.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$268.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$230.51
Nearest support

-2.05% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$225.79
Deeper support zone

-3.25% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$223.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$227.73 - $233.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $225.79, invalidation $235.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 29.1 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.76 / $250.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.78 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.97%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$239.94 / $227.02Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$227.73 / $233.29Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$268.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.215Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.1 / 60.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-407.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $225.79, invalidation $235.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 29.1 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.76 / $250.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.215Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.1 / 60.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.78 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.97%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$239.94 / $227.02Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$227.73 / $233.29Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-407.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$268.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.79Range

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