US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish74%
Weekly Downside probability 74%Bearish

LRCX 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $297.01 and stabilize above resistance $438.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $438.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -11.802

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.15 (16.55%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$288.66Bearish
EMA 21$297.01Bearish
EMA 50$261.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -11.802

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $38.15 · BB 46.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.4 · OBV -11.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$194.08 - $438.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+106.78% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$476.65
Nearest resistance

+90.23% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$438.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$230.51
Nearest support

-15.8% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$194.08
Deeper support zone

-32.36% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$155.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$192.36 - $268.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $352.56, invalidation $265.37

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 19.1 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$143.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$310.66 / $287Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.15 (16.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.50%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$368.82 / $226.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.36 / $268.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$438.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$194.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.802Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 24.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $352.56, invalidation $265.37

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 19.1 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$143.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$310.66 / $287Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.802Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 24.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.15 (16.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.50%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$368.82 / $226.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.36 / $268.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$438.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$194.08Range

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