US stock / ETF

Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

LRCX 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $278.9 and stabilize above resistance $438.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $438.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -14.838

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.42 (16.01%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$254.51Bearish
EMA 21$278.9Bearish
EMA 50$257.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -14.838

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $37.42 · BB 55.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.8 · OBV -8.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$184.24 - $438.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+103.58% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$475.92
Nearest resistance

+87.57% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$438.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$233.78
Nearest support

-21.19% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$184.24
Deeper support zone

-37.2% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$146.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$196.36 - $271.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $352.56, invalidation $265.37

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 18.6 / 37.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.89 / $287Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.42 (16.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.50%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.39 / $198.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.36 / $271.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$438.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.838Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.4 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $352.56, invalidation $265.37

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 18.6 / 37.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.89 / $287Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.838Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.4 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.42 (16.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.50%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.39 / $198.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.36 / $271.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$438.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.24Range

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