US stock / ETF

First Solar, Inc.

FSLR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

FSLR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $261.56 and stabilize above resistance $320.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $320.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.1, MACD -1.563

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.25 (3.35%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$254.48Bearish
EMA 21$261.56Bearish
EMA 50$260.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.1 · MACD -1.563

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.25 · BB 12.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV -11.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$244.6 - $320.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.35% · 10.0 ATR above latest close

$328.68
Nearest resistance

+30% · 9.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$320.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$246.49
Nearest support

-0.77% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$244.6
Deeper support zone

-4.12% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$236.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$238.24 - $254.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.91, invalidation $266.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 10.4 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$264.9 / $271.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.25 (3.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.20%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.66 / $244.73Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.24 / $254.74Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$244.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.563Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 6.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.91, invalidation $266.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 10.4 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$264.9 / $271.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.563Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 6.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.25 (3.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.20%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.66 / $244.73Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.24 / $254.74Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$244.6Range

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