US stock / ETF

Ford Motor Company

F · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

F 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.94 and stabilize above resistance $12.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $12.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.1, MACD -0.047

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1413 (1.22%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.76Bearish
EMA 21$11.94Bearish
EMA 50$12.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.1 · MACD -0.047

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1413 · BB 7.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -5.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.45 - $12.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.49% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$12.92
Nearest resistance

+10.27% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$12.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.59
Nearest support

-1.21% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.45
Deeper support zone

-2.43% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$11.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.45 - $11.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.45, invalidation $12.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.0 / 7.7 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.93 / $12.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1413 (1.22%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.66%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.21 / $11.65Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.45 / $11.73Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.047Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.45, invalidation $12.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.0 / 7.7 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.93 / $12.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.047Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1413 (1.22%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.66%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.21 / $11.65Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.45 / $11.73Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.45Range

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