US stock / ETF

Ford Motor Company

F · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

F 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $14.76 and stabilize above resistance $16.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $16.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.4, MACD -0.095

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2708 (1.87%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$14.66Bearish
EMA 21$14.76Bearish
EMA 50$14.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD -0.095

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2708 · BB 11.54%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.8 · OBV -23.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$14.02 - $16.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.53% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$16.56
Nearest resistance

+12.66% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$16.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.46
Nearest support

-3.04% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.02
Deeper support zone

-4.92% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$13.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.19 - $14.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.06, invalidation $14.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 14.6 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $15.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2708 (1.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.54%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.19 / $14.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.19 / $14.73Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.06, invalidation $14.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 14.6 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.01 / $15.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2708 (1.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.54%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.19 / $14.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.19 / $14.73Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$16.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.02Range

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