US stock / ETF

Ford Motor Company

F · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

F 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $14.36 and stabilize above resistance $17.04.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $17.04 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.7, MACD -0.047

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.3489 (2.52%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$14.06Bearish
EMA 21$14.36Bearish
EMA 50$14.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.7 · MACD -0.047

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3489 · BB 9.49%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.0 · OBV -10.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$13.73 - $17.04

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.56% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

$17.38
Nearest resistance

+23.04% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$17.04
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$13.85
Nearest support

-0.87% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$13.73
Deeper support zone

-3.39% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$13.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$13.5 - $14.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.56, invalidation $13.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

7.9 / 26.1 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.37 / $15.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.3489 (2.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.49%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.02 / $13.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.5 / $14.19Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$17.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.047Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.56, invalidation $13.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

7.9 / 26.1 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.37 / $15.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.047Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 11.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.3489 (2.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.49%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.02 / $13.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.5 / $14.19Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$17.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$13.73Range

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