US stock / ETF

Cummins Inc.

CMI · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

CMI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $462.02 and stabilize above resistance $513.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $513.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.3, MACD 1.684

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.93 (1.3%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$458.46Bearish
EMA 21$462.02Bearish
EMA 50$477.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.3 · MACD 1.684

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.93 · BB 4.34%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.8 · OBV -1232.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$440 - $513.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.08% · 10.8 ATR above latest close

$519.55
Nearest resistance

+12.77% · 9.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$513.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$455.44
Nearest support

-3.39% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$440
Deeper support zone

-4.69% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$434.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$449.51 - $461.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $468.02, invalidation $450

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.8 / 23.4 / 31.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$439.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$457.77 / $490.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.93 (1.3%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.34%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$473.59 / $449.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$449.51 / $461.37Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$513.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$440Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.684Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.2 / 39.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1232.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $468.02, invalidation $450

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.8 / 23.4 / 31.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$439.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$457.77 / $490.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.684Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.2 / 39.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.93 (1.3%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.34%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$473.59 / $449.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$449.51 / $461.37Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1232.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$513.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$440Range

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