US stock / ETF

Cummins Inc.

CMI · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

CMI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $526.87 and stabilize above resistance $548.04.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $548.04 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -1.953

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $8.4 (1.61%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$523.1Bearish
EMA 21$526.87Bearish
EMA 50$527.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -1.953

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.4 · BB 7.45%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 58.5 · OBV -7.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$508.9 - $548.04

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.93% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$556.44
Nearest resistance

+5.32% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$548.04
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$520.37
Nearest support

-2.2% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$508.9
Deeper support zone

-3.82% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$500.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$511.97 - $528.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $512, invalidation $522.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 26.9 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$495.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$528.32 / $528.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.4 (1.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.45%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$542.97 / $510.56Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$511.97 / $528.77Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$548.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$508.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.953Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 29.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $512, invalidation $522.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 26.9 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$495.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$528.32 / $528.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.953Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 29.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.4 (1.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.45%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$542.97 / $510.56Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$511.97 / $528.77Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$548.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$508.9Range

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