US stock / ETF

Cummins Inc.

CMI · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish73%
Weekly Downside probability 73%Bearish

CMI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $575.63 and stabilize above resistance $737.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $737.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.9, MACD -13.923

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $36.38 (6.99%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$541.31Bearish
EMA 21$575.63Bearish
EMA 50$559.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.9 · MACD -13.923

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $36.38 · BB 42.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.5 · OBV -24.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$507.2 - $737.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+48.77% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$774.14
Nearest resistance

+41.78% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$737.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$520.37
Nearest support

-2.53% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$507.2
Deeper support zone

-9.52% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$470.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$483.99 - $556.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $737.76, invalidation $507.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.2 / 3.5 / 37.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$436.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$584.97 / $575.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.38 (6.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.42%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$636.05 / $512.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$483.99 / $556.75Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$507.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.923Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.0 / 10.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $737.76, invalidation $507.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.2 / 3.5 / 37.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$436.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$584.97 / $575.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.923Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.0 / 10.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.3Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.38 (6.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.42%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$636.05 / $512.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$483.99 / $556.75Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$507.2Range

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