US stock / ETF

Cummins Inc.

CMI · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CMI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $548.44 and stabilize above resistance $737.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $737.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.0, MACD -15.503

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $32.96 (7.24%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$500.6Bearish
EMA 21$548.44Bearish
EMA 50$548.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.0 · MACD -15.503

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $32.96 · BB 47.82%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 18.0 · OBV -30.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$443.62 - $737.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+69.24% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

$770.72
Nearest resistance

+62% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$737.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$455.4
Nearest support

-2.59% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$443.62
Deeper support zone

-9.83% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$410.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$422.44 - $488.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $507.2, invalidation $548.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.4 / 3.8 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$359.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$543.36 / $590.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.96 (7.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.82%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$613.04 / $479.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$422.44 / $488.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-15.503Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 3.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $507.2, invalidation $548.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.4 / 3.8 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$359.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$543.36 / $590.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-15.503Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 3.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.96 (7.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.82%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$613.04 / $479.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$422.44 / $488.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$737.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.62Range

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