US stock / ETF

American Express Company

AXP · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish69%
4h Downside probability 69%Bearish

AXP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $356.09 and stabilize above resistance $362.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $362.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.5, MACD -0.732

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.55 (1%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$357.49Bearish
EMA 21$356.09Bearish
EMA 50$351.29Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.5 · MACD -0.732

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.55 · BB 3.32%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.0 · OBV -2.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$333.56 - $362.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.08% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$366.27
Nearest resistance

+2.08% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$362.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$355.34
Nearest support

-6.13% · 6.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$333.56
Deeper support zone

-7.13% · 7.1 ATR below latest close

$330.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$351.79 - $358.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $351.82, invalidation $362.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.8 / 22.4 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$344.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$355.59 / $348.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.55 (1%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.32%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$363.33 / $349.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$351.79 / $358.89Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$362.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$333.56Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.732Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 34.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.01xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $351.82, invalidation $362.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.8 / 22.4 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$344.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$355.59 / $348.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.732Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 34.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.55 (1%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.32%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$363.33 / $349.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$351.79 / $358.89Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.01xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$362.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$333.56Range

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