US stock / ETF

American Express Company

AXP · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

AXP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $336.05 and stabilize above resistance $345.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $345.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -0.249

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.42 (0.73%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$334.77Bearish
EMA 21$336.05Bearish
EMA 50$337.85Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -0.249

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.42 · BB 2.31%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 17.1 · OBV -7.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$331.15 - $345.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.2% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$347.62
Nearest resistance

+3.48% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$345.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$333.6
Nearest support

-0.74% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$331.15
Deeper support zone

-1.46% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$328.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$331.18 - $336.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334.2, invalidation $337.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.5 / 5.5 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$327.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$336.3 / $339.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.42 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.31%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$340.26 / $331.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$331.18 / $336.02Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.249Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 14.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334.2, invalidation $337.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.5 / 5.5 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$327.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$336.3 / $339.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.249Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 14.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.42 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.31%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$340.26 / $331.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$331.18 / $336.02Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$345.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.15Range

Related Forecasts