US stock / ETF

American Express Company

AXP · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish56%
Weekly Downside probability 56%Bearish

AXP 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $330.44 and stabilize above resistance $369.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $369.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.2, MACD -1.985

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.63 (5.32%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$327.99Bearish
EMA 21$330.44Bearish
EMA 50$327.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.2 · MACD -1.985

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.63 · BB 16.73%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.2 · OBV -1.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$290.97 - $369.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.59% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$386.13
Nearest resistance

+18.27% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$369.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$312.43
Nearest support

-6.87% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$290.97
Deeper support zone

-12.19% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$274.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$295.8 - $329.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $318.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 21.5 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$273.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$330.41 / $339.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.63 (5.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.73%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$360.39 / $300.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$295.8 / $329.06Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$369.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$290.97Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.985Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 24.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $318.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 21.5 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$273.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$330.41 / $339.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.985Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 24.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.63 (5.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.73%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$360.39 / $300.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$295.8 / $329.06Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$369.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$290.97Range

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