US stock / ETF

American Express Company

AXP · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish89%
Weekly Downside probability 89%Bearish

AXP 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $324.12 and stabilize above resistance $363.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $363.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.7, MACD -3.862

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $15.11 (4.96%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$315.76Bearish
EMA 21$324.12Bearish
EMA 50$325.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.7 · MACD -3.862

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $15.11 · BB 18.97%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.0 · OBV -7.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$290.97 - $363.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.2% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$378.25
Nearest resistance

+19.24% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$363.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$304.55
Nearest support

-4.46% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$290.97
Deeper support zone

-9.42% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$275.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$289.44 - $319.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $318.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.3 / 11.0 / 35.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$268.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$326.16 / $339.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$15.11 (4.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.97%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$347.75 / $299.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$289.44 / $319.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$363.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$290.97Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 11.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $318.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.3 / 11.0 / 35.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$268.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$326.16 / $339.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 11.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$15.11 (4.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.97%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$347.75 / $299.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$289.44 / $319.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$363.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$290.97Range

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