US stock / ETF

American Express Company

AXP · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish57%
Monthly Downside probability 57%Bearish

AXP 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $312.53 and stabilize above resistance $387.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $387.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 52.6, MACD -6.393

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.24 (12.24%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$325.76Bearish
EMA 21$312.53Bearish
EMA 50$264.6Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.6 · MACD -6.393

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $38.24 · BB 34.78%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.5 · OBV -20.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$165.93 - $387.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.26% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$425.73
Nearest resistance

+24.02% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$387.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$312.43
Nearest support

-46.89% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$165.93
Deeper support zone

-59.13% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$127.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$274.19 - $350.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $290.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 22.6 / 18.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$321.29 / $259.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.24 (12.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.78%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$388.2 / $240.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$274.19 / $350.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$387.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$165.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.393Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.3 / 38.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-6.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $290.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 22.6 / 18.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$321.29 / $259.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.393Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.3 / 38.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-6.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.24 (12.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.78%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$388.2 / $240.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$274.19 / $350.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$387.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$165.93Range

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