US stock / ETF

American Express Company

AXP · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish54%
Monthly Downside probability 54%Bearish

AXP 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $311.11 and stabilize above resistance $387.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $387.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.7, MACD -7.881

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $36.53 (11.99%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$319.61Bearish
EMA 21$311.11Bearish
EMA 50$265.85Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD -7.881

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $36.53 · BB 34.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.3 · OBV -12.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$177.81 - $387.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.23% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$424.02
Nearest resistance

+27.23% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$387.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$304.55
Nearest support

-41.62% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$177.81
Deeper support zone

-53.61% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$141.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$268.02 - $341.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $290.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 23.7 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$317.1 / $259.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.53 (11.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.90%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$384.5 / $240.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.02 / $341.08Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$387.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$177.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.881Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.1 / 24.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $363.14, invalidation $290.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 23.7 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$317.1 / $259.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.881Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.1 / 24.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.53 (11.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.90%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$384.5 / $240.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.02 / $341.08Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$387.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$177.81Range

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