US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AOS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $57.21 and stabilize above resistance $58.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $58.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.2, MACD -0.102

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5650 (1%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$56.82Bearish
EMA 21$57.21Bearish
EMA 50$57.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.2 · MACD -0.102

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5650 · BB 5.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.9 · OBV 11.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$55.51 - $58.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.86% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$59.51
Nearest resistance

+3.87% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$58.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.75
Nearest support

-2.19% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$55.51
Deeper support zone

-3.19% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$54.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$56.19 - $57.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $55.51, invalidation $57.28

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.4 / 14.5 / 40.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$57.04 / $57.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5650 (1%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.62%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$58.26 / $56.13Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56.19 / $57.32Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$58.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$55.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.8 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $55.51, invalidation $57.28

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.4 / 14.5 / 40.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$57.04 / $57.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.8 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5650 (1%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.62%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$58.26 / $56.13Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$56.19 / $57.32Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$58.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$55.51Range

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