US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish74%
4h Downside probability 74%Bearish

AOS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $64.51 and stabilize above resistance $68.12.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $68.12 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.5, MACD -0.173

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7777 (1.22%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$64.45Bearish
EMA 21$64.51Bearish
EMA 50$63.5Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.5 · MACD -0.173

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7777 · BB 6.02%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 67.0 · OBV 18.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$61.55 - $68.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.69% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$68.9
Nearest resistance

+6.47% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$68.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.98
Nearest support

-3.8% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$61.55
Deeper support zone

-5.01% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$60.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$63.2 - $64.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.4, invalidation $65.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 22.8 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.12 / $63.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7777 (1.22%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.02%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$66.14 / $62.91Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.2 / $64.76Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$68.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.173Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.6 / 51.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.4, invalidation $65.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 22.8 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.12 / $63.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.173Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.6 / 51.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7777 (1.22%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.02%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$66.14 / $62.91Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$63.2 / $64.76Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$68.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.55Range

Related Forecasts