US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish58%
Monthly Downside probability 58%Bearish

AOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $67.84 and stabilize above resistance $92.18.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.18 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.7, MACD -1.370

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.2 (12.53%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$63.89Bearish
EMA 21$67.84Bearish
EMA 50$67.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.7 · MACD -1.370

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.2 · BB 30.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.0 · OBV 6.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54.67 - $92.18

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+72.93% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$99.38
Nearest resistance

+60.4% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.18
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$57.47
Nearest support

-4.87% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.67
Deeper support zone

-17.41% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$47.47
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$50.27 - $64.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $81.64, invalidation $63.01

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.4 / 29.4 / 27.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$36.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.79 / $69.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.2 (12.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.67%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.46 / $52.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.27 / $64.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.370Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.4 / 10.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-174.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.77%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $81.64, invalidation $63.01

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.4 / 29.4 / 27.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$36.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.79 / $69.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.370Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.4 / 10.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-174.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.2 (12.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.67%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.46 / $52.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.27 / $64.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.77%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.67Range

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