US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

AOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65.05 and stabilize above resistance $92.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.3, MACD -1.212

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.92 (12.19%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$60.45Bearish
EMA 21$65.05Bearish
EMA 50$66.44Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD -1.212

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.92 · BB 35.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.8 · OBV -0.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54.16 - $92.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+75.09% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$99.36
Nearest resistance

+62.9% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.75
Nearest support

-4.56% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.16
Deeper support zone

-16.75% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$47.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$49.83 - $63.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $64.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.2 / 19.0 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.56 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.92 (12.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.53%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$79.6 / $50.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$49.83 / $63.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.212Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.3 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $64.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.2 / 19.0 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.56 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.212Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.3 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.92 (12.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.53%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$79.6 / $50.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$49.83 / $63.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

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