US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish90%
Monthly Downside probability 90%Bearish

AOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $66.97 and stabilize above resistance $92.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.6, MACD -1.024

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.33 (12.01%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$63.31Bearish
EMA 21$66.97Bearish
EMA 50$67.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD -1.024

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.33 · BB 29.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.2 · OBV -47.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54.16 - $92.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+63.47% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$99.78
Nearest resistance

+51.46% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$61.04
Nearest support

-11.26% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.16
Deeper support zone

-23.28% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$46.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$53.7 - $68.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $81.87, invalidation $54.16

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 28.8 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.66 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.33 (12.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.53%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.23 / $52.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$53.7 / $68.37Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.8 / 25.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $81.87, invalidation $54.16

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 28.8 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.66 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.8 / 25.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.33 (12.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.53%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.23 / $52.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$53.7 / $68.37Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

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