US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish86%
Monthly Downside probability 86%Bearish

AOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65.98 and stabilize above resistance $92.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.6, MACD -1.177

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.08 (12.34%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$61.74Bearish
EMA 21$65.98Bearish
EMA 50$66.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.6 · MACD -1.177

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.08 · BB 32.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.0 · OBV -34.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54.16 - $92.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+73.43% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$99.53
Nearest resistance

+61.08% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$57.39
Nearest support

-5.63% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.16
Deeper support zone

-17.97% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$47.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$50.31 - $64.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $64.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.0 / 18.5 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.56 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.08 (12.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.59%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.04 / $50.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.31 / $64.47Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.177Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 17.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $64.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.0 / 18.5 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$35.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.56 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.177Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 17.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.08 (12.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.59%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.04 / $50.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.31 / $64.47Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

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