US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish64%
Monthly Downside probability 64%Bearish

AOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65.48 and stabilize above resistance $92.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.3, MACD -0.909

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.36 (11.97%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$61.51Bearish
EMA 21$65.48Bearish
EMA 50$66.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD -0.909

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.36 · BB 33.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.6 · OBV 19.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$54.16 - $92.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+62.29% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$99.81
Nearest resistance

+50.32% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$61.5
Nearest support

-11.93% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.16
Deeper support zone

-23.91% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$46.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$54.14 - $68.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $64.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.3 / 17.8 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.56 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.36 (11.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.76%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.3 / $49.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.14 / $68.86Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.909Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 18.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $64.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.3 / 17.8 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$70.56 / $69.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.909Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 18.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.36 (11.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.76%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.3 / $49.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.14 / $68.86Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

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