US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

AOS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $60.49 and stabilize above resistance $81.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $81.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.0, MACD -0.073

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.3 (5.81%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$58.8Bearish
EMA 21$60.49Bearish
EMA 50$63.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.0 · MACD -0.073

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.3 · BB 14.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.5 · OBV -10.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$54.16 - $81.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.06% · 8.6 ATR above latest close

$85.16
Nearest resistance

+44.26% · 7.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$81.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.75
Nearest support

-4.56% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.16
Deeper support zone

-10.37% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$50.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$53.45 - $60.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $64.77, invalidation $58.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 10.6 / 19.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.46 / $68.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.3 (5.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.92%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$67.08 / $53.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$53.45 / $60.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.073Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.7 / 15.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $64.77, invalidation $58.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 10.6 / 19.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.46 / $68.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.073Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.7 / 15.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.3 (5.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.92%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$67.08 / $53.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$53.45 / $60.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

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