US stock / ETF

A.O. Smith Corporation

AOS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AOS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $62.46 and stabilize above resistance $81.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $81.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD 0.315

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.42 (5.61%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$60.48Bullish
EMA 21$62.46Bearish
EMA 50$65.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD 0.315

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.42 · BB 25.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV -315.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$54.16 - $81.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.1% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$85.28
Nearest resistance

+34.49% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$81.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$60.87
Nearest support

-11.02% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.16
Deeper support zone

-16.64% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$50.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$57.45 - $64.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $63.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.4 / 14.2 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$50.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$63.31 / $68.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.42 (5.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.03%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68.68 / $55.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$57.45 / $64.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.315Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 53.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-33.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $54.16, invalidation $63.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.4 / 14.2 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$50.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$63.31 / $68.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.315Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 53.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-33.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.42 (5.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.03%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$68.68 / $55.9Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$57.45 / $64.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.16Range

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