US stock / ETF

Amazon

AMZN · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish73%
4h Downside probability 73%Bearish

AMZN 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $241.05 and stabilize above resistance $261.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $261.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD 0.402

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.38 (2.26%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$238.05Bearish
EMA 21$241.05Bearish
EMA 50$247.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD 0.402

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.38 · BB 7.81%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 63.1 · OBV 3.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$230.91 - $261.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.05% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$266.58
Nearest resistance

+9.79% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$261.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$237.9
Nearest support

-2.94% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$230.91
Deeper support zone

-5.2% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$225.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$232.52 - $243.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.91, invalidation $245.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 32.8 / 25.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$222.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239.49 / $252.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.38 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.81%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$252.4 / $229.16Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$232.52 / $243.28Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$261.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$230.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.402Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.6 / 37.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.91, invalidation $245.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 32.8 / 25.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$222.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239.49 / $252.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.402Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.6 / 37.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.38 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.81%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$252.4 / $229.16Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$232.52 / $243.28Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$261.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$230.91Range

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