US stock / ETF

Amazon

AMZN · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

AMZN 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $262.23 and stabilize above resistance $274.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.0, MACD -0.103

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.45 (0.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$260.47Bearish
EMA 21$262.23Bearish
EMA 50$263.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.0 · MACD -0.103

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.45 · BB 3.40%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 37.3 · OBV -7.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$257.77 - $274

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.84% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$276.45
Nearest resistance

+5.89% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$274
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$258.75
Nearest support

-0.38% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$257.77
Deeper support zone

-1.33% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$255.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$256.3 - $261.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $267.39, invalidation $257.77

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 24.9 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$251.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.65 / $270.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.45 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.40%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.98 / $257.24Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.3 / $261.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$257.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.103Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.5 / 12.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $267.39, invalidation $257.77

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 24.9 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$251.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.65 / $270.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.103Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.5 / 12.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.45 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.40%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.98 / $257.24Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.3 / $261.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$257.77Range

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