Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1430 and stabilize above resistance 0.1597.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1597 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.0, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.006364 (4.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 80.1415Bearish
EMA 210.1430Bearish
EMA 500.1396Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.006364 · BB 13.50%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.2 · OBV 1.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.1315 - 0.1597

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.9% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

0.1661
Nearest resistance

+15.31% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1597
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1385
Nearest support

-5.05% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1315
Deeper support zone

-9.65% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

0.1251
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1321 - 0.1449

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1438, invalidation 0.1371

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 8.9 / 30.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1270Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1443 / 0.1404Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.006364 (4.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.50%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1511 / 0.1349Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1321 / 0.1449Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1597Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1315Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 24.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1438, invalidation 0.1371

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 8.9 / 30.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1270Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1443 / 0.1404Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 24.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.006364 (4.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.50%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1511 / 0.1349Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1321 / 0.1449Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1597Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1315Range

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