Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish54%
4h Downside probability 54%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $0.1278 and stabilize above resistance $0.2029.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $0.2029 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.2, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.008086 (6.58%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$0.1264Bearish
EMA 21$0.1278Bearish
EMA 50$0.1239Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD -0.001

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.008086 · BB 20.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 64.7 · OBV -100.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$0.09960 - $0.2029

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.81% · 10.9 ATR above latest close

$0.2110
Nearest resistance

+65.23% · 9.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$0.2029
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$0.1228
Nearest support

-18.89% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$0.09960
Deeper support zone

-25.48% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$0.09151
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$0.1147 - $0.1309

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.1506, invalidation $0.09960

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.5 / 28.4 / 23.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.09478Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.1474 / $0.1510Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.008086 (6.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.85%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.1470 / $0.1087Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.1147 / $0.1309Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.2029Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.09960Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 27.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.1506, invalidation $0.09960

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.5 / 28.4 / 23.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.09478Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.1474 / $0.1510Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 27.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.008086 (6.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.85%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.1470 / $0.1087Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.1147 / $0.1309Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$0.2029Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.09960Range

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