Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1176 and stabilize above resistance 0.1239.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.1239 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD -0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 0.002386 (2.09%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1158Bearish
EMA 210.1176Bearish
EMA 500.1204Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD -0.000

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.002386 · BB 7.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.4 · OBV -2.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.1117 - 0.1239

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.87% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

0.1263
Nearest resistance

+8.78% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.1239
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1139
Nearest support

-1.93% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.1117
Deeper support zone

-4.03% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

0.1093
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.1115 - 0.1163

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1224, invalidation 0.1139

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 10.8 / 35.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1063Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1169 / 0.1215Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.002386 (2.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1223 / 0.1127Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1115 / 0.1163Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1239Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1117Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 23.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-178.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.1224, invalidation 0.1139

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 10.8 / 35.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.1063Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1169 / 0.1215Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 23.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-178.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

0.002386 (2.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.1223 / 0.1127Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.1115 / 0.1163Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.1239Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.1117Range

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