Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish63%
Weekly Downside probability 63%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1366 and stabilize above resistance 0.2652.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.2652 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -0.001

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.0330 (28.98%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1317Bearish
EMA 210.1366Bearish
EMA 500.1887Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0330 · BB 51.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.8 · OBV 68.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
0.0931 - 0.2652

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+161.81% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

0.2982
Nearest resistance

+132.84% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.2652
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1139
Nearest support

-18.26% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0931
Deeper support zone

-47.24% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

0.0601
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0809 - 0.1469

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.2467, invalidation 0.1228

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 33.1 / 11.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0189Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1745 / 0.1999Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0330 (28.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.49%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2022 / 0.0703Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0809 / 0.1469Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2652Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0931Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 6.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

68.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.2467, invalidation 0.1228

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 33.1 / 11.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0189Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1745 / 0.1999Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 6.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0330 (28.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.49%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2022 / 0.0703Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0809 / 0.1469Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

68.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2652Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0931Range

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