Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1330 and stabilize above resistance 0.2652.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.2652 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD 0.005

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.0332 (28.86%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1211Bearish
EMA 210.1330Bearish
EMA 500.2255Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD 0.005

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0332 · BB 52.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.0 · OBV 2609.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
0.0931 - 0.2652

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+159.06% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

0.2984
Nearest resistance

+130.21% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.2652
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1152
Nearest support

-19.18% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0931
Deeper support zone

-48.04% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

0.0599
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0820 - 0.1484

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.1548

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.4 / 27.0 / 13.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0116Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1644 / 0.3690Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0332 (28.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.48%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2005 / 0.0624Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0820 / 0.1484Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2652Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0931Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.005Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 22.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2609.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.1548

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.4 / 27.0 / 13.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0116Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1644 / 0.3690Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.005Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 22.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0332 (28.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.48%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2005 / 0.0624Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0820 / 0.1484Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2609.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2652Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0931Range

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