Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish63%
Weekly Downside probability 63%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.1381 and stabilize above resistance 0.2706.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.2706 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD 0.007

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.0455 (38.41%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1255Bearish
EMA 210.1381Bearish
EMA 500.2393Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD 0.007

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0455 · BB 53.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 62.7 · OBV 986.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
0.0931 - 0.2706

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+166.76% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

0.3161
Nearest resistance

+128.35% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.2706
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1185
Nearest support

-21.43% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0931
Deeper support zone

-59.84% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

0.0476
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0730 - 0.1640

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2029

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.9 / 36.0 / 8.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.005960Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1636 / 0.3690Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0455 (38.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.44%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2115 / 0.0612Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0730 / 0.1640Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2706Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0931Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.007Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.8 / 20.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

986.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2029

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.9 / 36.0 / 8.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.005960Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.1636 / 0.3690Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.007Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.8 / 20.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.0455 (38.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.44%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.2115 / 0.0612Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0730 / 0.1640Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

986.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.2706Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0931Range

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