Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish75%
Monthly Downside probability 75%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.4651 and stabilize above resistance 2.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 38.0, MACD 0.132

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.1372 (99.25%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1554Bearish
EMA 210.4651Bearish
EMA 502.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD 0.132

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 0.1372 · BB 282.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.3 · OBV -2375.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.0700 - 2.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2,017.34% · 20.3 ATR above latest close

2.93
Nearest resistance

+1,918.09% · 19.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

2.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1382
Nearest support

-49.35% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0700
Deeper support zone

-148.6% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

-0.0672
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.001036 - 0.2754

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2652

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 22.6 / 9.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.1384Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.5878 / 2.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1372 (99.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 282.21%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.6154 / 0.2355Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.001036 / 0.2754Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0700Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.132Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.4 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2375.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2652

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 22.6 / 9.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.1384Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.5878 / 2.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.132Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.4 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1372 (99.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 282.21%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.6154 / 0.2355Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.001036 / 0.2754Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2375.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0700Range

Related Forecasts