Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish74%
Monthly Downside probability 74%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.3831 and stabilize above resistance 2.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD 0.123

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.1249 (109.63%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1434Bearish
EMA 210.3831Bearish
EMA 502.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD 0.123

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.1249 · BB 214.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.2 · OBV -2710.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.0700 - 2.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2,458.27% · 22.4 ATR above latest close

2.91
Nearest resistance

+2,348.64% · 21.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

2.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1139
Nearest support

-38.54% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0700
Deeper support zone

-148.17% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

-0.0549
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-0.0110 - 0.2388

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2652

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 27.3 / 6.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.1117Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.5878 / 1.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1249 (109.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 214.36%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.5063 / 0.1940Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-0.0110 / 0.2388Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0700Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.123Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2710.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2652

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 27.3 / 6.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.1117Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.5878 / 1.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.123Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1249 (109.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 214.36%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.5063 / 0.1940Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-0.0110 / 0.2388Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2710.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0700Range

Related Forecasts