Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish78%
Monthly Downside probability 78%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $0.5368 and stabilize above resistance $2.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $2.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.5, MACD 0.136

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.1561 (127.35%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$0.1748Bearish
EMA 21$0.5368Bearish
EMA 50$2.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.5 · MACD 0.136

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1561 · BB 355.61%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.4 · OBV -8802.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$0.07000 - $2.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2,302.23% · 18.1 ATR above latest close

$2.95
Nearest resistance

+2,174.88% · 17.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$2.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$0.1226
Nearest support

-42.9% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$0.07000
Deeper support zone

-170.26% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

-$0.08614
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$0.03354 - $0.2787

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.2652, invalidation $0.09750

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 21.3 / 11.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$0.3219Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.8992 / $4.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.1561 (127.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 355.61%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.8055 / $0.1789Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$0.03354 / $0.2787Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.07000Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.136Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 10.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8802.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $0.2652, invalidation $0.09750

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 21.3 / 11.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$0.3219Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$0.8992 / $4.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.136Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 10.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.1561 (127.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 355.61%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$0.8055 / $0.1789Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$0.03354 / $0.2787Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8802.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$0.07000Range

Related Forecasts