Cryptocurrency

My Neighbor Alice / TetherUS

ALICEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

ALICEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.4346 and stabilize above resistance 2.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 37.9, MACD 0.130

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.1283 (96.17%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.1498Bearish
EMA 210.4346Bearish
EMA 502.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.9 · MACD 0.130

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 0.1283 · BB 234.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.2 · OBV -1385.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.0700 - 2.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2,086.87% · 21.7 ATR above latest close

2.92
Nearest resistance

+1,990.7% · 20.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

2.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.1334
Nearest support

-47.53% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0700
Deeper support zone

-143.69% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

-0.0583
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.005114 - 0.2617

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2652

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 22.6 / 9.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.1007Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.5878 / 1.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1283 (96.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 234.65%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.5533 / 0.2413Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.005114 / 0.2617Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0700Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.130Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 9.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1385.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0931, invalidation 0.2652

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 22.6 / 9.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-0.1007Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.5878 / 1.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.130Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 9.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.1283 (96.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 234.65%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.5533 / 0.2413Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.005114 / 0.2617Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1385.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0700Range

Related Forecasts