US stock / ETF

Aflac Inc.

AFL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

AFL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $117.47 and stabilize above resistance $122.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.9, MACD 0.154

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6653 (0.57%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$116.92Bearish
EMA 21$117.47Bearish
EMA 50$119.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.9 · MACD 0.154

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6653 · BB 2.39%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.4 · OBV -71.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$116.01 - $122.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.86% · 10.3 ATR above latest close

$123.41
Nearest resistance

+5.29% · 9.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$116.58
Nearest support

-0.49% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$116.01
Deeper support zone

-1.06% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$115.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.91 - $117.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $117.63, invalidation $116.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 40.7 / 32.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.09 / $121.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6653 (0.57%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.39%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.74 / $116.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.91 / $117.25Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.154Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 28.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $117.63, invalidation $116.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 40.7 / 32.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.09 / $121.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.154Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 28.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6653 (0.57%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.39%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.74 / $116.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.91 / $117.25Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$116.01Range

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