US stock / ETF

Autodesk, Inc.

ADSK · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

ADSK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $207.43 and stabilize above resistance $215.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $215.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.2, MACD -0.684

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.35 (1.63%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$207.35Bearish
EMA 21$207.43Bearish
EMA 50$205.75Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.2 · MACD -0.684

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.35 · BB 5.27%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 58.9 · OBV -41.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$198.01 - $215.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.52% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$219.34
Nearest resistance

+4.89% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$215.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$205.92
Nearest support

-3.84% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$198.01
Deeper support zone

-5.47% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$194.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$202.57 - $209.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.34, invalidation $200.92

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 24.2 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$195.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$207.07 / $202.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.35 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.27%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$214.41 / $200.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.57 / $209.27Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$215.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$198.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.684Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.3 / 52.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.57xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.34, invalidation $200.92

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 24.2 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$195.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$207.07 / $202.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.684Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.3 / 52.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.35 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.27%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$214.41 / $200.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.57 / $209.27Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.57xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$215.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$198.01Range

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