US stock / ETF

Autodesk, Inc.

ADSK · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish58%
4h Downside probability 58%Bearish

ADSK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $232.64 and stabilize above resistance $248.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 55.3, MACD -0.920

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.36 (1.85%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$235.55Bearish
EMA 21$232.64Bullish
EMA 50$224.89Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.3 · MACD -0.920

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.36 · BB 7.24%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.1 · OBV -29.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$202.15 - $248.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.81% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$253.35
Nearest resistance

+5.95% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$235
Nearest support

-13.98% · 7.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$202.15
Deeper support zone

-15.83% · 8.5 ATR below latest close

$197.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$230.64 - $239.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $227.99, invalidation $242.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.9 / 20.8 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.3 / $225.57Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.36 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.24%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$240.02 / $225.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$230.64 / $239.36Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$202.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.920Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.4 / 37.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.82xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $227.99, invalidation $242.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.9 / 20.8 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.3 / $225.57Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.920Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.4 / 37.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.36 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.24%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$240.02 / $225.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$230.64 / $239.36Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.82xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$202.15Range

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