US stock / ETF

Autodesk, Inc.

ADSK · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

ADSK 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $259.85 and stabilize above resistance $279.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $279.24 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.3, MACD -0.780

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.41 (1.32%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$259.56Bearish
EMA 21$259.85Bearish
EMA 50$255.7Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.3 · MACD -0.780

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.41 · BB 6.52%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.9 · OBV -4.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$246.37 - $279.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.93% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$282.65
Nearest resistance

+7.62% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$279.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.48
Nearest support

-5.05% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$246.37
Deeper support zone

-6.37% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$242.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$256.07 - $262.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $265.81, invalidation $255.14

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.6 / 9.6 / 21.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$249.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.18 / $256.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.41 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.52%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.46 / $253.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.07 / $262.89Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$246.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.780Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.7 / 43.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $265.81, invalidation $255.14

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.6 / 9.6 / 21.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$249.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.18 / $256.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.780Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.7 / 43.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.41 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.52%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.46 / $253.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.07 / $262.89Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$246.37Range

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