US stock / ETF

Autodesk, Inc.

ADSK · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish66%
Weekly Downside probability 66%Bearish

ADSK 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $227.52 and stabilize above resistance $271.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $271.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.6, MACD -0.230

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.36 (10.08%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$221.07Bearish
EMA 21$227.52Bearish
EMA 50$242.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.6 · MACD -0.230

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $21.36 · BB 35.33%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.0 · OBV 29.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$185.5 - $271.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.25% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$293.08
Nearest resistance

+28.17% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$271.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$212
Nearest support

-12.5% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185.5
Deeper support zone

-22.58% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$164.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$190.64 - $233.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $271.72, invalidation $206.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 33.1 / 18.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.03 / $255.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.36 (10.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.33%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.48 / $181.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.64 / $233.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.230Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.8 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $271.72, invalidation $206.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 33.1 / 18.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.03 / $255.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.230Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.8 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.36 (10.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.33%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.48 / $181.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.64 / $233.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.5Range

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