US stock / ETF

Autodesk, Inc.

ADSK · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADSK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.68 and stabilize above resistance $329.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $329.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.6, MACD -8.322

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.23 (18.04%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$231.22Bearish
EMA 21$249.68Bearish
EMA 50$250.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.6 · MACD -8.322

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $38.23 · BB 57.06%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.1 · OBV -91.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185.5 - $329.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+73.27% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$367.32
Nearest resistance

+55.23% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$329.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$212
Nearest support

-12.5% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185.5
Deeper support zone

-30.54% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$147.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$173.77 - $250.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185.5, invalidation $271.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 6.5 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$242.95 / $248.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.23 (18.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.06%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$335.79 / $162.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.77 / $250.23Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.322Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.5 / 28.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-91.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185.5, invalidation $271.72

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 6.5 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$242.95 / $248.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.322Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.5 / 28.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.23 (18.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.06%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$335.79 / $162.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.77 / $250.23Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-91.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.5Range

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