US stock / ETF

Autodesk, Inc.

ADSK · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish81%
Monthly Downside probability 81%Bearish

ADSK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $253.76 and stabilize above resistance $329.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $329.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -8.267

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $40.47 (19.05%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$237.46Bearish
EMA 21$253.76Bearish
EMA 50$252.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -8.267

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $40.47 · BB 53.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.6 · OBV -85.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185.5 - $329.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+73.99% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$369.56
Nearest resistance

+54.94% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$329.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$212.4
Nearest support

-12.66% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185.5
Deeper support zone

-31.72% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$145.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$171.93 - $252.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $329.09, invalidation $185.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.1 / 7.3 / 30.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$249.22 / $246.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.47 (19.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.04%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$341.22 / $165.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$171.93 / $252.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.267Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-85.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $329.09, invalidation $185.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.1 / 7.3 / 30.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$249.22 / $246.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.267Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.47 (19.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.04%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$341.22 / $165.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$171.93 / $252.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-85.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.5Range

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