US stock / ETF

U.S. Bancorp

USB · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish57%
4h Downside probability 57%Bearish

USB 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $62.62 and stabilize above resistance $65.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $65.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 43.0, MACD 0.085

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4138 (0.66%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$62.45Bearish
EMA 21$62.62Bearish
EMA 50$63.13Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD 0.085

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.4138 · BB 2.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.8 · OBV -169.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$61.5 - $65.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.38% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

$66.38
Nearest resistance

+5.71% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$65.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$62.4
Nearest support

-1.44% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$61.5
Deeper support zone

-2.11% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$61.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$61.99 - $62.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.42, invalidation $61.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 29.9 / 11.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$62.91 / $63.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4138 (0.66%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.07%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$63.58 / $61.62Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.99 / $62.81Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.085Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.6 / 35.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

21.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-169.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.42, invalidation $61.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 29.9 / 11.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$62.91 / $63.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.085Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.6 / 35.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

21.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4138 (0.66%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.07%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$63.58 / $61.62Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$61.99 / $62.81Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-169.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.48xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$65.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.5Range

Related Forecasts