US stock / ETF

U.S. Bancorp

USB · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

USB 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $61.83 and stabilize above resistance $63.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $63.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.1, MACD -0.327

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8003 (1.34%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$61.04Bearish
EMA 21$61.83Bearish
EMA 50$62.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.1 · MACD -0.327

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8003 · BB 6.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.1 · OBV -82.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$58.81 - $63.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.27% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$64.69
Nearest resistance

+6.93% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$63.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$59.75
Nearest support

-1.57% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$58.81
Deeper support zone

-2.91% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$58.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58.95 - $60.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.18, invalidation $61.91

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 12.7 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61.17 / $61.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8003 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.36%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$63.65 / $59.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.95 / $60.55Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.327Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-269.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-82.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.94xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.18, invalidation $61.91

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 12.7 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$56.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61.17 / $61.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.327Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-269.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8003 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.36%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$63.65 / $59.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.95 / $60.55Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-82.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.94xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$63.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.81Range

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