US stock / ETF

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

UAL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish69%
4h Downside probability 69%Bearish

UAL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $100.02 and stabilize above resistance $105.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $105.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.3, MACD 0.249

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.05 (3.09%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$100.02Bearish
EMA 21$100.02Bearish
EMA 50$102.05Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.3 · MACD 0.249

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.05 · BB 10.10%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 55.8 · OBV -31.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$93.7 - $105.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.29% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$108.59
Nearest resistance

+7.2% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$105.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.46
Nearest support

-4.83% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.7
Deeper support zone

-7.93% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$90.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$95.41 - $101.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.97, invalidation $98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 37.3 / 26.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.93 / $103.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.05 (3.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.10%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.64 / $94.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.41 / $101.51Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.249Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 50.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.97, invalidation $98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 37.3 / 26.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.93 / $103.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.249Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 50.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.05 (3.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.10%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.64 / $94.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.41 / $101.51Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.7Range

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