US stock / ETF

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

UAL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

UAL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $116.01 and stabilize above resistance $122.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.2, MACD -1.337

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.71 (1.53%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$115.12Bearish
EMA 21$116.01Bearish
EMA 50$113.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.2 · MACD -1.337

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.71 · BB 10.54%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 12.2 · OBV -8.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$106.5 - $122.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.15% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$123.93
Nearest resistance

+9.61% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$111.5
Nearest support

-4.48% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$106.5
Deeper support zone

-6.02% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$104.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$109.79 - $113.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.61, invalidation $118.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.0 / 13.5 / 48.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.82 / $111.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.71 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.54%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.3 / $112.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.79 / $113.21Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 1.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.61, invalidation $118.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.0 / 13.5 / 48.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.82 / $111.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 1.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-185.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.71 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.54%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.3 / $112.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.79 / $113.21Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.5Range

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