US stock / ETF

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

UAL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

UAL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $124.68 and stabilize above resistance $138.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $138.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.5, MACD -0.472

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.26 (1.88%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$121.75Bearish
EMA 21$124.68Bearish
EMA 50$126.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.5 · MACD -0.472

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.26 · BB 9.85%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.5 · OBV -8.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$119.41 - $138.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.52% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$140.46
Nearest resistance

+14.64% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$138.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.55
Nearest support

-0.95% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$119.41
Deeper support zone

-2.82% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$117.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$118.29 - $122.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.41, invalidation $122.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 17.4 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.98 / $129.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.26 (1.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.85%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.38 / $120.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$118.29 / $122.81Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$119.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.472Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 7.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.57xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.41, invalidation $122.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 17.4 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.98 / $129.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.472Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 7.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.26 (1.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.85%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.38 / $120.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$118.29 / $122.81Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.57xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$119.41Range

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