US stock / ETF

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

UAL · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

UAL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $117 and stabilize above resistance $128.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $128.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 26.7, MACD -0.217

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.45 (1.29%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$113.68Bearish
EMA 21$117Bearish
EMA 50$120.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 26.7 · MACD -0.217

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.45 · BB 14.89%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV -21.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$110.96 - $128.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.04% · 11.7 ATR above latest close

$129.95
Nearest resistance

+13.75% · 10.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$128.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.97
Nearest support

-1.78% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$110.96
Deeper support zone

-3.07% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$109.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.51 - $114.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.96, invalidation $114.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.9 / 17.9 / 37.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.68 / $123.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.45 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.89%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.94 / $113.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.51 / $114.42Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$110.96Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.217Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.6 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.96, invalidation $114.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.9 / 17.9 / 37.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.68 / $123.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.217Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.6 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.45 (1.29%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.89%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.94 / $113.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.51 / $114.42Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$128.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$110.96Range

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