US stock / ETF

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

UAL · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish82%
1h Downside probability 82%Bearish

UAL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $115.61 and stabilize above resistance $122.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.0, MACD -0.608

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.14 (1.02%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$113.27Bearish
EMA 21$115.61Bearish
EMA 50$116.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.0 · MACD -0.608

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.14 · BB 9.26%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 14.1 · OBV -16.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$111.25 - $122

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.44% · 10.2 ATR above latest close

$123.14
Nearest resistance

+9.42% · 9.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$111.5
Nearest support

-0.22% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.25
Deeper support zone

-1.25% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$110.11
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.36 - $112.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.31, invalidation $118.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.9 / 3.3 / 55.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.6 / $116.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.14 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.26%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.42 / $112.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.36 / $112.64Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.608Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.4 / 2.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.43xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.31, invalidation $118.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.9 / 3.3 / 55.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.6 / $116.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.608Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.4 / 2.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.14 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.26%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$118.42 / $112.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.36 / $112.64Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.43xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.25Range

Related Forecasts