US stock / ETF

Textron, Inc.

TXT · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish78%
Weekly Downside probability 78%Bearish

TXT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $89.86 and stabilize above resistance $101.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $101.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.3, MACD -0.904

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.32 (6.41%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$88.52Bearish
EMA 21$89.86Bearish
EMA 50$88.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.3 · MACD -0.904

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.32 · BB 12.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.8 · OBV -111.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82.68 - $101.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.86% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$106.89
Nearest resistance

+22.45% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$101.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$82.95
Nearest support

-0.33% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.68
Deeper support zone

-6.74% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$77.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.63 - $88.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $96.46, invalidation $84.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.1 / 12.8 / 23.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.7 / $89.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.32 (6.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.44%

-17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.74 / $77.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.63 / $88.27Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.904Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.0 / 25.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-247.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-111.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $96.46, invalidation $84.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.1 / 12.8 / 23.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.7 / $89.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.904Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.0 / 25.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-247.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.32 (6.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.44%

-17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.74 / $77.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.63 / $88.27Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-111.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.68Range

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