Cryptocurrency

Toncoin / TetherUS

TONUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

TONUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1.61 and stabilize above resistance $1.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD -0.006

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.06971 (4.43%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1.59Bearish
EMA 21$1.61Bearish
EMA 50$1.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD -0.006

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.06971 · BB 12.72%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.2 · OBV -1.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1.51 - $1.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.82% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$1.82
Nearest resistance

+11.39% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1.57
Nearest support

-3.88% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1.51
Deeper support zone

-8.32% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$1.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1.5 - $1.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.75, invalidation $1.54

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 17.7 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.62 / $1.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.06971 (4.43%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.72%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.77 / $1.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.5 / $1.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.4 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.75, invalidation $1.54

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 17.7 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.62 / $1.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.4 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.06971 (4.43%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.72%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.77 / $1.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.5 / $1.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.51Range

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