US stock / ETF

Simon Property Group, Inc.

SPG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

SPG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $201.16 and stabilize above resistance $206.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $206.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.5, MACD -0.235

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.58 (0.8%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$199.95Bearish
EMA 21$201.16Bearish
EMA 50$203.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.5 · MACD -0.235

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.58 · BB 2.78%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.5 · OBV -17.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$197.59 - $206.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.21% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$208.05
Nearest resistance

+4.41% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$206.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$197.75
Nearest support

-0.08% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$197.59
Deeper support zone

-0.88% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$196.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$196.17 - $199.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $203.32, invalidation $200.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.4 / 21.3 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$200.93 / $202.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.58 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.78%

-7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$203.96 / $198.22Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.17 / $199.33Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$206.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.235Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.8 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-216.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $203.32, invalidation $200.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.4 / 21.3 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$200.93 / $202.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.235Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.8 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-216.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.58 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.78%

-7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$203.96 / $198.22Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.17 / $199.33Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$206.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.59Range

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