US stock / ETF

PTC Inc.

PTC · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish61%
4h Downside probability 61%Bearish

PTC 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $123.49 and stabilize above resistance $127.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $127.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.5, MACD -0.449

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.65 (1.35%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$123.84Bearish
EMA 21$123.49Bearish
EMA 50$122.37Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.5 · MACD -0.449

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.65 · BB 3.42%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 56.2 · OBV -5.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$112.07 - $127.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.41% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$129.13
Nearest resistance

+4.06% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$122.51
Nearest support

-8.52% · 6.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$112.07
Deeper support zone

-9.87% · 7.3 ATR below latest close

$110.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$120.86 - $124.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.05, invalidation $126.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 26.0 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.38 / $119.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.65 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.42%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.75 / $120.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$120.86 / $124.16Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.449Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 50.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $120.05, invalidation $126.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 26.0 / 42.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.38 / $119.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.449Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 50.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.65 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.42%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.75 / $120.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$120.86 / $124.16Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.07Range

Related Forecasts