US stock / ETF

PepsiCo, Inc.

PEP · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish75%
Monthly Downside probability 75%Bearish

PEP 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.3 and stabilize above resistance $183.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $183.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.4, MACD -1.759

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.55 (10.77%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$137.41Bearish
EMA 21$145.3Bearish
EMA 50$150.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.4 · MACD -1.759

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.55 · BB 30.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.8 · OBV 957.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$124.63 - $183.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+56.67% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$196.96
Nearest resistance

+45.9% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$183.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.71
Nearest support

-0.86% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$124.63
Deeper support zone

-11.64% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$111.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$112.16 - $139.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $171.48, invalidation $136.01

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 13.0 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.12 / $160.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.55 (10.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.15%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$172.13 / $117.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.16 / $139.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$183.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.759Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 7.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-159.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

957.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $171.48, invalidation $136.01

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 13.0 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.12 / $160.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.759Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 7.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-159.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.55 (10.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.15%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$172.13 / $117.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.16 / $139.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

957.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$183.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.63Range

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