US stock / ETF

PACCAR Inc.

PCAR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish58%
4h Downside probability 58%Bearish

PCAR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $118.34 and stabilize above resistance $122.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.7, MACD -0.491

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.17 (1.84%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$118.58Bearish
EMA 21$118.34Bearish
EMA 50$117.02Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.7 · MACD -0.491

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.17 · BB 7.44%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.3 · OBV -29.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$106.84 - $122.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.19% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$124.71
Nearest resistance

+4.34% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$117.44
Nearest support

-9.03% · 4.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$106.84
Deeper support zone

-10.87% · 5.9 ATR below latest close

$104.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.27 - $119.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.43, invalidation $116.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 16.3 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.58 / $114.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.17 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.44%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123 / $113.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.27 / $119.61Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.84Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.491Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 18.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.43, invalidation $116.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 16.3 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.58 / $114.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.491Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 18.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.17 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.44%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123 / $113.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.27 / $119.61Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.84Range

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