US stock / ETF

PACCAR Inc.

PCAR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

PCAR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $109.28 and stabilize above resistance $112.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $112.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD -0.288

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.06 (0.99%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$108.8Bearish
EMA 21$109.28Bearish
EMA 50$109.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD -0.288

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.06 · BB 3.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 75.1 · OBV -6.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$106.41 - $112.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.09% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$113.76
Nearest resistance

+5.1% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$112.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$107.23
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$106.41
Deeper support zone

-1.76% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$105.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$106.17 - $108.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111, invalidation $108.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 21.4 / 38.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.23 / $109.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.06 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.68%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.29 / $107.25Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.17 / $108.29Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$112.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 30.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-202.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111, invalidation $108.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 21.4 / 38.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.23 / $109.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 30.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-202.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.06 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.68%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.29 / $107.25Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.17 / $108.29Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$112.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$106.41Range

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