US stock / ETF

PACCAR Inc.

PCAR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish88%
Weekly Downside probability 88%Bearish

PCAR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $114.23 and stabilize above resistance $139.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $139.24 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.5, MACD -2.334

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.19 (5.82%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$108.24Bearish
EMA 21$114.23Bearish
EMA 50$114.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.5 · MACD -2.334

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.19 · BB 35.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 21.7 · OBV -0.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$100.07 - $139.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.77% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$145.43
Nearest resistance

+30.95% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$139.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.33
Nearest support

-5.89% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.07
Deeper support zone

-11.7% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$93.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$100.14 - $112.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.07, invalidation $112.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.7 / 3.8 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.74 / $116.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.19 (5.82%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.66%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.54 / $101.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.14 / $112.52Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$139.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.334Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 9.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.07, invalidation $112.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.7 / 3.8 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$115.74 / $116.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.334Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 9.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.19 (5.82%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.66%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.54 / $101.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$100.14 / $112.52Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$139.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.07Range

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