US stock / ETF

ON Semiconductor Corporation

ON · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

ON 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $74.17 and stabilize above resistance $78.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $78.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.0, MACD -0.249

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.61 (2.23%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$73.35Bearish
EMA 21$74.17Bearish
EMA 50$75.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD -0.249

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.61 · BB 10.24%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.6 · OBV -5.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$70.77 - $78.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.3% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$80.58
Nearest resistance

+9.07% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$78.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$72.4
Nearest support

-2.25% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$70.77
Deeper support zone

-4.48% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$69.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$70.79 - $74.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.8, invalidation $74.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 20.6 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$75.25 / $78.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.61 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.24%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$77.6 / $70.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.79 / $74.01Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.249Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 12.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.45xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $71.8, invalidation $74.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 20.6 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$75.25 / $78.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.249Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 12.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.61 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.24%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$77.6 / $70.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.79 / $74.01Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.45xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$70.77Range

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