US stock / ETF

Genuine Parts Company

GPC · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

GPC 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $124.03 and stabilize above resistance $129.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $129.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.1, MACD -0.266

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.47 (1.2%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$123.49Bearish
EMA 21$124.03Bearish
EMA 50$124.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.1 · MACD -0.266

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.47 · BB 5.37%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 31.4 · OBV 0.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$120.3 - $129.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.63% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$130.98
Nearest resistance

+5.43% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$129.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$122.84
Nearest support

-2.07% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$120.3
Deeper support zone

-3.27% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$118.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$121.37 - $124.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.56, invalidation $125.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 28.5 / 25.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.74 / $124.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.47 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.37%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.59 / $121.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.37 / $124.31Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$129.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.3 / 28.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.07xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.56, invalidation $125.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 28.5 / 25.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$124.74 / $124.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.3 / 28.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.47 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.37%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.59 / $121.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.37 / $124.31Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.07xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$129.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.3Range

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