US stock / ETF

GENERAC HOLDINGS INC

GNRC · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

GNRC 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $193.76 and stabilize above resistance $215.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $215.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.7, MACD -0.308

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.12 (2.2%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$189.7Bearish
EMA 21$193.76Bearish
EMA 50$199.87Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.7 · MACD -0.308

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.12 · BB 10.53%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 62.6 · OBV 14.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$181.95 - $215.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.64% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$219.9
Nearest resistance

+15.44% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$215.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$186.92
Nearest support

-2.66% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$181.95
Deeper support zone

-4.86% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$177.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$182.8 - $191.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $203.83, invalidation $181.95

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 16.1 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$173.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$192.72 / $207.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.12 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.53%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$202.62 / $184.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.8 / $191.04Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$215.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$181.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.308Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.7 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $203.83, invalidation $181.95

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 16.1 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$173.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$192.72 / $207.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.308Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.7 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.12 (2.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.53%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$202.62 / $184.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.8 / $191.04Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$215.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$181.95Range

Related Forecasts