US stock / ETF

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.

FDXF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

FDXF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $148.8 and stabilize above resistance $157.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $157.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -0.412

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.58 (1.78%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$147.09Bearish
EMA 21$148.8Bearish
EMA 50$152.05Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -0.412

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.58 · BB 11.01%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.8 · OBV -5.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$140.67 - $157.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.46% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$159.9
Nearest resistance

+8.68% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$157.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$144.75
Nearest support

-2.82% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$140.67
Deeper support zone

-4.6% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$138.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$142.17 - $147.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.09, invalidation $150

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 11.8 / 32.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$137.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.48 / $155.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.58 (1.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.01%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$153.84 / $143.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$142.17 / $147.33Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.412Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 7.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.09, invalidation $150

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 11.8 / 32.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$137.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.48 / $155.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.412Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 7.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.58 (1.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.01%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$153.84 / $143.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$142.17 / $147.33Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.67Range

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